RESEARCH
Vaca Muerta’s rapid rise draws fresh capital while infrastructure strains under growing output
21 Nov 2025

A decade ago Argentina’s shale prospects looked more like a gamble than a plan. Today Vaca Muerta, once dismissed as too remote and too costly, is edging into the global energy conversation with surprising force.
The basin’s most productive zones now match results in America’s best shale fields. YPF has set new oil-production records, with shale supplying more than half its crude. A senior company engineer calls the steady rise in output a “turning point”, a sign of how far operations have matured. Investors seem to agree. Vista Energy has expanded its development plans and is drilling at a brisker pace, hoping to seize what it views as a short-lived opening. Such confidence would have been unthinkable when the basin’s potential was still a matter of debate.
Yet success brings constraints. Pipelines, processing plants and export links are struggling to keep up with the surge. International operators want clearer rules and a faster build-out of midstream infrastructure. The tensions are familiar from other fast-growing shale regions: production outpaces the networks meant to move it. Industry veterans say the problem is solvable, but only with coordinated investment and predictable policy.
Despite the bottlenecks, sentiment is buoyant. Capital is returning, output continues to climb and foreign interest is expanding. Local drillers and service firms expect room to scale. Global energy groups are watching more closely, sensing that Argentina may soon matter beyond its borders.
Whether the momentum lasts will depend on how quickly the country can match geology with logistics. If it does, Argentina’s shale boom could lift the country to a larger role in world energy markets. For now, the direction is unmistakable-and others are beginning to notice.
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